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Breaking Blue

80% of Registered youth could turnout on election day (Mike Connery)

A point of comparison. A lot of media outlets are now saying that "lots of youth are registered, but they never show up on election day."

That's actually not true. According to Rock the Vote and census data, over 80% of registered youth actually cast a ballot on election day in 2004. Add in Obama's mass of new voter registrations and that makes for a compelling picture for potential youth turnout. Future Majority has more.
presidential_registration_and_turnout_1996-2004

Posted at 10/13/2008 04:35:30 PM EST - #

LA-06: New Poll, and Cassidy Admits Support for Class Warfare (DailyKingFish)

The DCCC released a poll showing a 17 point lead for Don Cazayoux, and his opponent, Bill Cassidy, admits that he would have voted FOR the $700 billion bailout.

Posted at 10/13/2008 02:40:36 PM EST - #

LA-Sen: Landrieu v. Kennedy, Rd. II (DailyKingFish)

CenLamar has a pretty good recap of the second debate ... including the smackdown of Kennedy by Senator Landrieu:

“John, I know you’re trying very hard, but Senator McCain’s coattails are not long enough for you.”

Posted at 10/13/2008 02:24:21 PM EST - #

CO-SEN: Massive ad buy smacks Schaffer as ‘war profiteer’ (em dash)

Hot on the heels of an ad tying Republican Senate candidate Bob Schaffer to convicted lobbyist Jack Abramoff and sweatshop operators, a campaign finance watchdog group hit the Denver airwaves Monday morning with a second ad blasting Schaffer as a “war profiteer” over an Iraqi oil deal he negotiated.

Posted at 10/13/2008 02:13:09 PM EST - #

NC Sen: Dole is out of money (The Southern Dem)

Elizabeth Dole, once known for her ability to raise money, is now personally financing her Senate campaign.

Posted at 10/13/2008 10:57:05 AM EST - #

CO-SEN, CO-PRES: Obama, Udall each up 10 pts (em dash)

A new voter snapshot released by Public Policy Polling spells good news for the Obama-Biden presidential ticket and U.S. Senate candidate Mark Udall with each campaign leading its opponent by 10 points overall and seemingly insurmountable leads with key constituency groups.

Posted at 10/12/2008 02:13:38 PM EST - #

VA: GOP Party Chair Compares Obama to Bin Laden (lowkell)

This obviously is unacceptable, but sadly not surprising. The question is, will John McCain and other Republican "leaders" repudiate these hateful, ignorant comments or not?

Posted at 10/12/2008 12:08:48 PM EST - #

Texas County Agrees to Stop Vote Suppression Efforts (Matt Glazer)

After decades of suppressing voter rights,one Texas County has finally agreed to let mostly young, African American Texans have the right to vote.

Posted at 10/11/2008 03:00:32 PM EST - #

VA-05: Tom Perriello Closes in on Virgil Goode (lowkell)

New poll results from Virginia's 5th CD indicate that "common good progressive" Tom Perriello is closing in on corrupt, anti-Muslim bigot Virgil Goode. Great news!

Posted at 10/11/2008 12:09:25 PM EST - #

Hotline: Colorado is last toss-up state in nation (em dash)

Colorado’s nine electoral votes are the only ones in the nation not leaning toward either Barack Obama or John McCain, according to an Electoral College projection Friday by the National Journal’s Hotline that shows Obama approaching a landslide victory.

Posted at 10/11/2008 11:32:28 AM EST - #

Jim Webb: Barack Obama Will be a "fine commander in chief" (lowkell)

Check out our exclusive interview with Jim Webb, in which he decries John McCain's "Karl Rove" politics and predicts that "Barack Obama is going to win [Virginia]."

Posted at 10/10/2008 07:23:34 PM EST - #

IA-04: Latham and Greenwald hold second radio debate (desmoinesdem)

Democrat Becky Greenwald and Republican incumbent Tom Latham faced off in their second and final radio debate this morning in Mason City. They also debated on a Des Moines radio station on Monday. It may be their final meeting of the campaign, although efforts are ongoing to organize a joint appearance on Iowa Public Television before November 4.

Posted at 10/10/2008 02:31:27 PM EST - #

One Really Bad Typo: 'Barack Osama' on Ballot in NY County (lipris)

Typo? Maybe. Freudian slip? Perhaps. Regardless, absentee voters in Rensselaer County, NY got ballots in the mail with one Barack Osama listed as the Democratic nominee for president.

Posted at 10/10/2008 01:43:02 PM EST - #

NC Sen: Kay Hagan Fights back against False Freedom's Watch Ads (The Southern Dem)

Kay Hagan is being attacked on air and land in North Carolina by mulitple 527 groups. Freedom's Watch is running ads that make false claims in NC and the Kay Hagan campaign is fighting back.

Posted at 10/10/2008 11:37:19 AM EST - #

Gordon Smith: Sarah Palin is "a great governor of CALIFORNIA" (karichisholm)

Befuddling, but true:

Posted at 10/10/2008 01:46:17 AM EST - #

Rossi subpoenaed in Buildergate Case (John Rohrbach)

Via PolitickerWA.com:

Republican gubernatorial candidate Dino Rossi has been ordered to be deposed on his role in the Building Industry Association of Washington's fundraising activities for their political action committee, ChangePAC, which supports his election, according to a ruling from the state Superior Court.

Posted at 10/09/2008 06:05:11 PM EST - #

SD: Tim Johnson Leads 60%-35% (lowkell)

A new poll released today shows U.S. Senator Tim Johnson maintaining a commanding 25-point lead among South Dakota voters, topping his opponent (Joel Dykstra) 60%-35%.

Posted at 10/09/2008 05:52:21 PM EST - #

NRCC Pulling 2/3 of ads in swing district (fbihop)

Last cycle, NM-01 went to the Republican incumbent by less than a thousand votes. This year it's an open seat, and the NRCC just announced they cutting back their ads. Now the NRCC will only be airing one week of ads instead of the three originally promised.

Posted at 10/09/2008 04:52:49 PM EST - #

McCain still making a play for Iowa? (desmoinesdem)

Nine of the last ten Iowa polls show Barack Obama at or above 50 percent, with a significant lead over John McCain. Yet McCain is coming back to Iowa on Saturday and has opened more field offices here since Labor Day. He'll hold a rally in Davenport, which is across the Mississippi River from Illinois, so it's not as if media coverage from the event will reach a different swing state market. I'm not complaining about McCain spending a half-day here instead of in Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Missouri or Colorado.

Posted at 10/09/2008 04:35:19 PM EST - #

WVa Pres: M42 O50 - 12 point swing (WVaBlue)

ARG has released a poll of 600LVs showing a 12 point swing since their previous poll in mid-Sept.

Posted at 10/09/2008 02:39:30 PM EST - #

MN-03: Madia raises $997k in Q3 (MN Campaign Report)

In a continuing spate of great news for Dem candidate Ashwin Madia, his campaign is announcing today that they raised a hair short of a million bucks in Q3. Wow. Madia's cleared $2 million for the cycle, and while Republican opponent Erik Paulsen is financially stable on his own, the NRCC has been withdrawing from the race while the DCCC has been fully engaged. Advantage, Madia.

Posted at 10/09/2008 02:27:22 PM EST - #

CO-04: Musgrave-Markey pre-debate throw down (em dash)

Colorado Independent posted a debate strategy precursor in the nasty race between Marilyn Musgrave and ex-Ken Salazar staffer Betsy Markey. CQ Politics astoundingly called the race as having 'no clear favorite.' Is Musgrave going down?

Posted at 10/09/2008 02:14:10 PM EST - #

NC-Sen: Dole still banging deregulation drum (John Rohrbach)

From the Kinston Free-Press, part of an answer on how to stimulate the economy of eastern North Carolina: "We need low taxes, less regulation..."

Posted at 10/09/2008 12:41:18 PM EST - #

MN-03: Madia posts 2nd poll lead over GOP opponent Paulsen (MN Campaign Report)

Details here:

This week has been absolutely phenomenal for Madia. With each day, the news makes it more apparent than he is beginning to pull away from Paulsen. First, a poll from the DCCC showed Ashwin Madia ahead of Erik Paulsen by 5 points. Then, the NRCC canceled a week of advertising for Paulsen. And now, a second poll has Madia leading. A KSTP/SurveyUSA poll shows Madia leading Paulsen 46 to 43, with David Dillon at 8 percent.
Really, really great week for Team Madia -- and it's only Thursday...

Posted at 10/09/2008 08:47:09 AM EST - #

KY-Sen: DSCC jumps in with ad attacking McConnell (MediaCzech)

The DSCC is launching its first ad in Kentucky after the recent surprising polls showing Bruce Lunsford and Mitch McConnell in a dead heat.

Posted at 10/08/2008 03:46:54 PM EST - #

NM-Sen: Another sign GOP is giving up? (fbihop)

Is this another sign the Republicans are completely giving up on New Mexico's Senate race? At a recent John McCain rally in Albuquerque, McCain didn't even acknowledge that Pearce was in attendance.

Posted at 10/08/2008 03:27:50 PM EST - #

DCCC, NRCC Spend $8 Million in 41 Districts (HellofaSandwich)

Boom goes the dynamite.

Posted at 10/08/2008 12:25:07 AM EST - #

VA: 350,000 New Registered Voters Since 1/1/08 (lowkell)

New numbers are out from Virginia, where new voter registration is now closed, and boy is it looking good. I'm hearing that of the 350,000 (or more) new registered voters in Virginia, 80% may be Democratic! Keep in mind that John Kerry lost Virginia to George W. Bush by 262,000 votes in 2004, and that 80% of 350,000 is...280,000. :)

Posted at 10/07/2008 07:02:53 PM EST - #

National Debt Too Big for Clock (KTinTX)

That's just depressing.

Posted at 10/07/2008 06:34:25 PM EST - #

Clinton headed to W.Va. to endorse Anne Barth (WV-02) (WVaBlue)

Hillary Clinton is returning to West Virginia on Friday to endorse Democratic challenger Anne Barth (WV-02)

Posted at 10/07/2008 11:56:21 AM EST - #

Not a Joke: "Macaca" Man to Represent McCain in Debate on Energy/Environment (lowkell)

It is very telling that "The McCain campaign chose this racist clown to represent them in a key battleground state."

Posted at 10/07/2008 11:30:50 AM EST - #

IL-10, IN-09, NC-08, NH-01, NY-29, PA-04, WI-08: Democrats Post Leads in New SUSA Polls (HellofaSandwich)

SurveyUSA has released a batch of rematch polls in seven House races. The skinny? Democratic Reps. Baron Hill, Carol Shea-Porter, Jason Altmire, and Steve Kagen are all leading comfortably.

In even better news, Dan Seals, Larry Kissell, and Eric Massa are posting big leads over Republican incumbents.

Posted at 10/06/2008 10:57:59 PM EST - #

IA-04: Latham and Greenwald debate on the radio (desmoinesdem)

Congressman Tom Latham and Democratic candidate Becky Greenwald debated tonight on Des Moines-based WHO radio. It was their first debate (Latham declined several invitations to debate his challenger in August). Chase Martyn liveblogged the debate at Iowa Independent. My initial take is at Bleeding Heartland, and I will have more to say on the debate and the IA-04 race tomorrow at that community blog for Iowa Democrats.

Posted at 10/06/2008 10:15:17 PM EST - #

More good polls in NM (fbihop)

More good news for Dems in New Mexico. Tom Udall leads 51-36 according to a new poll. Obama leads McCain 45-40.

Posted at 10/06/2008 05:26:52 PM EST - #

TX Voter Registration Deadline Today (KTinTX)

If you are in Austin, you have the option of registering to vote until Midnight at any of 50 different locations. Burnt Orange Report has mapped them all here. Voter registration has already hit record levels in Texas and Austin is looking to add another 20,000 voters to the rolls today alone.

Posted at 10/06/2008 04:19:05 PM EST - #

New Gallup/USA Today/MTV Poll: Obama's Youth Advantage at 61 - 32% (Mike Connery)

A new poll by Gallup/MTV/USA Today gives Obama a 61 - 32% advantage over John McCain among young voters. That's not super surprising if you've followed youth polling this cycle. What is surprising: that is the most lopsided advantage among any age group recorded in modern Presidential politics.

Posted at 10/06/2008 04:10:23 PM EST - #

SEIU Ad: "Worried Sick" (Joaquin H Guerra)


On Friday, the Associated Press reported that while voters prefer Barack Obama's health care plan to John McCain's, many voters - particularly independents and seniors - do not have a clear understanding of the differences between the two proposals. SEIU's new effortSEIU's new effort - which incorporates advertising, mail, phone calls, and door-to-door canvassing - aims at providing undecided voters with detailed information about the candidates' health care plans.

Posted at 10/06/2008 03:35:17 PM EST - #

Interview with Russ Feingold (MN Campaign Report)

Russ Feingold was in town this weekend in support of Al Franken and Ashwin Madia -- I sat down with him for a brief interview covering Obama vs. McCain, privacy legislation, and the meaning of the word "Progressive." Check it out

Posted at 10/06/2008 08:41:07 AM EST - #

LA-06: Can YOU Raise More Money Than Dick Cheney? (DailyKingFish)

Dick Cheney is going to Baton Rouge today to raise money for Republican hopeful Bill Cassidy.

Can YOU help raise money for a Democrat that stood with us on the bailout bill? Can YOU help raise money for a Louisianan Democrat that gets that we need to start investing in renewable energy?

Well, can you?

Posted at 10/06/2008 01:04:21 AM EST - #

TX-Sen: Rick Noriega Back in the Game (KTinTX)

It's amazing what one poll will do to regain momentum in the Texas Senate race as we hunt for a 60 seat majority.

Posted at 10/05/2008 06:56:30 PM EST - #

SD: Sarah Palin Mentor Raids Fund for Deaf People (lowkell)

This would be beyond parody...except it isn't. "Compassionate conservatism," my a**.

Posted at 10/05/2008 03:07:40 PM EST - #

NC-Sen: Top McCain official: Dole is finished (John Rohrbach)

Top Republicans say they have no hope for Dole in North Carolina. “There’s no point in even counting the votes,” said a top McCain official. From Politico by way of BlueNC.

Posted at 10/05/2008 02:20:35 PM EST - #

RACIST COMMENTS BY VIRGINIA MCCAIN OFFICIAL (notlarrysabato)

A McCain official in Virginia wrote a column where he accuses Barack Obama of wanting to paint the White House black, supporting reparations, changing the national anthem to the "black national anthem", teaching "black liberation theology in all churches", and replacing the flag with a "star and crescent logo".

Posted at 10/05/2008 04:18:03 AM EST - #

Audio: Joe McCain Calls Arlington, VA "Communist Country" (lowkell)

My god, Joe McCain is nuttier than his brother (although probably not a bad fit for Sarah Palin?). Check this out - unbelievable.

Posted at 10/04/2008 07:17:29 PM EST - #

Twittering The L.A. Palin Rally (Todd Beeton)

It starts at 1:30pm PDT. Twittering it HERE. More info HERE.

Posted at 10/04/2008 02:31:47 PM EST - #

Louisiana Is Holding Primaries Today (DailyKingFish)

Very important primaries in LA-01, LA-02, LA-04, and LA-05, as well as a slew of local races throughout the state. Go to Daily Kingfish for a live-blog of the election returns later tonight, starting at 8 PM CST.

Posted at 10/04/2008 02:08:27 PM EST - #

NC-Gov: McCrory's Fellow Mayors Endorse Purdue (John Rohrbach)

Mayors of large NC cities, towns back Perdue. The mayors of several of North Carolina's largest cities have endorsed Democrat Beverly Perdue for governor, not fellow municipal leader Pat McCrory. Perdue's campaign announced support from the mayors of 14 towns and cities, including Raleigh, Durham, Greensboro, Winston-Salem, Asheville and Wilmington. McCrory, the Republican nominee, has been mayor of Charlotte since 1995. Asheville Mayor Terry Bellamy was quoted saying the lieutenant governor understands the issues facing the various parts of North Carolina. - WBTV

Posted at 10/03/2008 11:30:14 AM EST - #

NM-02: Cook Political Report Says It's a Tossup (fbihop)

This race is in a R+6 district. And now it's a toss-up. Read it and weep, Republicans.

Posted at 10/02/2008 09:20:42 PM EST - #

CO-SEN: Udall clobbers Schaffer in latest poll (em dash)

A statewide poll released Wednesday has presidential candidates Barack Obama and John McCain neck-and-neck in Colorado but shows Senate candidate Mark Udall 7 points ahead of former oil exec Bob Schaffer, including a 21-point advantage on the oil and gas-rich Western Slope. Ouch!

Posted at 10/02/2008 02:07:39 PM EST - #

New Wake Up Wal-Mart Commercial Going After McCain For Tonight's Debate (notlarrysabato)

Posted at 10/02/2008 01:59:57 PM EST - #

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